Michael Greenwald's Real Estate News:
First Half 2002
As we get well underway into 2002, we find that the real estate market has
not rebounded--only because it never went down in the first place. There
was only a slight hesitation in the local real estate market following
September 11, as there was after our earthquake in 1994. But once everyone
realized that the stock market wasn't crashing for good, that retail was
still going to be fine, and that unemployment wasn't going to run
rampantly, then we moved back to business as usual. In fact, so far 2002
has been much stronger than the last quarter of 2001.
Interest Rates
Buyers are a bit fearful that interest rates are starting to climb after
reaching a 32-year low around November. There was window of about a month
in which buyers could get interest rates under 6.0%, which is historically
incredibly low. Now they've risen a bit, but percentages are still
well within the 7's, which is also good.
Supply and Demand
Historically, springtime is the absolute best time for sellers to list
their homes, because that is when the majority of parents of school-age
kids are searching for the right local schools to prepare for a move in
spring or summer. During springtime we also traditionally see our highest
inventory, which means that buyers have ample choices. So far, however, we
have yet to see that happen; the inventory is still low, and choices are
slim. But that should turn around as we move further into the first half of
2002.
Prices on homes recently dipped a bit, but are now very stable. Many
appraisers I've spoken to tell me that they have not seen--at least on the
Westside of L.A.--a significant dip in prices. This is evidenced by the
many multiple offers we're seeing on properties, as well as the surprising
number of all-cash buyers that are in the marketplace.
What's Hot and What's Not
Fixer homes that are in good original condition are still very hot. Those
fixer homes in which the originality has been compromised are seeing
problems on the market. On the other end of the spectrum, homes that are in
complete move-in condition (i.e., "bring your toothbrush") are also in
significant demand. Everything in-between depends on location, the square
footage of the house, usability of the land, and the TLC the seller has
shown the home over the years.
Limbo Land
Should you buy first? Should you sell first? We are in a bit of
limbo land at the moment--it is neither a true seller's market, nor a true
buyer's market. There are sellers out there that initially try to
buy--putting themselves in escrow--and then attempt to quickly sell their
home. Unfortunately, they're finding themselves unsuccessful, and they end
up having to cancel their purchase. My suggestion is to first put your home
on the market, and possibly look into a temporary rental or a lease back of
your home if you can't find the right house to buy. But do not put yourself
into a position of buying your home dependant on the sale of your present
house. You, too, may find yourself not being able to sell. The market right
now is really right in the middle, that gray area between a buyer's market
and a seller's market--and I don't think we'll see either one of those
extremes this year.
For those of you looking to buy homes this year, I invite you to fill
out my Buyers Home Wish
List. I'll be glad to help you search for homes--simply email me
your wish list. Buyers can also access my Search For Homes link
to search directly in the Multiple Listing Service.
For those looking to sell homes this year, you can go to my Home Seller form
and forward me information about your home. I will get back to you
the same day. It's always good for potential sellers to go to my Homes For
Sale page to see what kinds of homes I am listing or have
recently sold.
I have also added Virtual Tours to most of my listings through ipix.com
(which has just been bought by Homestore.com). My
featured listing and other portfolio listings will be using this excellent
technology, putting you "inside the house!"
Westside Real Estate Market Overview:
First Half 2002
Brentwood:
Brentwood continues to outpace Pacific Palisades and Malibu in terms of
sales, though Beverly Hills is now the hottest area in all price ranges.
The good news is that when Beverly Hills is on fire, so to speak, it spurs
price increases throughout most of the L.A.'s Westside market, from Beverly
Hills to the ocean.
In Brentwood, we continue to see some record sales in Brentwood Park and
the area north of Sunset, primarily in new construction. The spec market
has slowed down a little bit in terms of new homes, but there is still a
lot of inventory on the market from homes built within the last year. Don't
hesitate to contact me at any time for more information on any
of these properties. I also invite you to please visit my Brentwood page.
Westwood: The Little Holmby area of Westwood, which borders
Wilshire Boulevard, Sunset Boulevard, UCLA and Beverly Glen, is
arguably one the most popular areas now on the Westside due to its
proximity to both the Westside and Beverly Hills. Always a popular
estate area, it is now becoming increasingly popular and even a bit
more expensive as major remodels and, in some parts, even brand new
construction begins, with speculative contractors entering the market
to flip the houses for profit.
Work has been partially completed to turn the Westwood Village into a
walking promenade and return it to its glory days of the 1960s and
70s. At present, all of the walking areas and parking facilities
have been completed. New, high-end furniture stores, supermarkets, and
restaurants are under construction or have been completed, and are
increasing the student and tourist population. Controversy still abounds
regarding what to do with the theaters and retail areas of Westwood. To
date, no complete
resolve has been made. Overall, this is a project that will certainly
affect the Westwood homeowner in a positive way. In keeping with the
updates at Westwood Village, you can link through my site to Westwood
movies, restaurants, retailers, and the UCLA site.
Care to find out more of the things that make Westwood tick? The
campus of UCLA
and the Armand
Hammer Museum at the center of Westwood Village are both area
attractions.
Bel Air: With properties almost 100% residential, Bel Air is
a unique community on the Westside of L.A. It is an incredibly
valuable area with prices broadly ranging from the low 500's up to 10
million. We are currently seeing a trend for the more affordable
homes here to rise rapidly in market value. Don't forget to enter my
First Half 2002 contest
to win a two-day stay at the Hotel Bel Air.
From lodging at Hotel Bel Air, to the exclusive Bel Air Country Club,
my Bel Air page will help you get a feel for
this Westside area.
Pacific Palisades:Entering into winter and spring in Pacific
Palisades makes it one of the strongest and most beautiful
communities on the Westside due to the village-feel of its
downtown restaurants and shopping.
Pacific Palisades is probably the best value on the Westside right
now. Prices have remained stable, yet have begun to depreciate ever
so slightly. If you've had your eye on homes in Pacific Palisades,
this makes it a good time to buy. Areas that are seeing activity in
particular are the "Alphabet Streets" and the "Pacific Palisades
Highlands."
A great resource on my site is my Pacific Palisades
page, which includes community, school, and business links
throughout the Palisades. In particular, you can access information
on Pacific Palisades schools, including Marquez
Charter
Elementary School, Palisades Charter
High, and Paul
Revere Charter Middle School.
Santa Monica: You can link to my updated Santa Monica
page--one of my most extensive community pages--which features a
myriad of resources, including schools, arts and entertainment,
parks, city groups, local events and activities, and businesses
online.
Single family homes north of Montana Avenue--especially in the
Gilette areas--are appreciating close to double digits for the first
time in the last six years. If you haven't driven down Montana
Avenue recently, you've missed some of the best restaurants and
retail shopping boutiques in all of the Westside. Also, check out the
Third Street
Promenade, which has its own Web site.
For getting around, one of the best bus systems in Southern
California is considered to be the Santa Monica transportation
system. For a system map, routes, schedules and other information, see
Santa Monica's Big Blue Bus Home Page.
For local schools, you may also link to Santa Monica High
School's own Web site.
Helpful Sites for Those on the Move:
First Half 2002
Spring and summer are popular times to move in the Westside area, as well
as make home improvements and repairs. "Helpful Sites for Those on
the Move" continues to help get you where you're going, from finding
school reports to making home improvements and repairs yourself to
answering your questions about home inspection and locating an
inspector in your area.
California Dept. of Education Standardized Testing
and Reporting Program (L.A. Unified District)
The California Department of Education S.T.A.R. reports show
statistics for Reading, Math, Language, Spelling, Science, and Social
Science test score results. Please be patient as this site takes a
while to load.
Do It
Yourself
This Web site provides excellent hints for the do-it-yourselfer. It
covers everything from electrical and energy efficiency, to appliance
care and repair, to painting and decorating. Besides home-related
topics, there are also a number of topics outside of home
improvement, including automotive, woodworking and hobbies.
The American
Society for Home Inspectors, Inc.
This site leads you through the FAQs about home inspection,
including what a home inspection includes, when and why you need one.
It also helps you to locate a qualified home inspector near you. This
site also provides resources to professionals, but the content most
easily reached should provide basic information and set you on your
way.
Past Newsletters
Second Half 2001
First Half 2001
Second Half 2000
First Half 2000
November/December, 1999
July/August, 1999
January/February, 1999
October/November, 1998
August/September, 1998
June/July, 1998
April/May, 1998
January/February, 1998
November/December, 1997
September/October, 1997
July/August, 1997
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